IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.5	#170
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.2	#247
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#176

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#183

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.6%	2.8%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.8	12.7	13.9

.500 or above	47.4%	50.1%	20.8%
.500 or above in Conference	39.8%	41.7%	22.0%
Conference Champion	1.9%	2.0%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	5.4%	4.8%	11.5%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	2.4%	2.6%	0.6%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 90.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 6	6 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 3	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2019	335	Idaho St.	W	78-64	91%
Nov 09, 2019	156	Texas St.	W	67-65	58%
Nov 12, 2019	244	@ Army	W	72-71	55%
Nov 18, 2019	68	@ TCU	L	65-77	15%
Nov 21, 2019	149	Loyola Marymount	L	64-65	45%
Nov 22, 2019	126	Duquesne	L	72-75	39%
Nov 24, 2019	158	Indiana St.	L	72-73	47%
Dec 01, 2019	303	Jackson St.	W	71-60	83%
Dec 04, 2019	275	@ Wyoming	W	71-68	60%
Dec 07, 2019	95	Nevada	L	72-74	43%
Dec 14, 2019	305	@ Denver	W	73-68	66%
Dec 21, 2019	145	Drake	W	72-71	55%
Dec 31, 2019	296	UC Riverside	W	71-61	81%
Jan 04, 2020	146	@ UNLV	L	69-74	36%
Jan 07, 2020	34	Utah St.	L	67-76	22%
Jan 11, 2020	92	@ New Mexico	L	74-83	24%
Jan 15, 2020	90	Boise St.	L	68-71	41%
Jan 18, 2020	179	Colorado St.	W	73-69	63%
Jan 21, 2020	34	@ Utah St.	L	64-79	10%
Jan 25, 2020	330	@ San Jose St.	W	76-68	74%
Jan 28, 2020	118	Fresno St.	L	69-70	48%
Feb 04, 2020	95	@ Nevada	L	69-77	26%
Feb 08, 2020	77	San Diego St.	L	67-71	36%
Feb 11, 2020	90	@ Boise St.	L	65-74	23%
Feb 15, 2020	330	San Jose St.	W	79-65	87%
Feb 19, 2020	118	@ Fresno St.	L	66-73	29%
Feb 22, 2020	275	Wyoming	W	74-65	76%
Feb 26, 2020	92	New Mexico	L	77-80	42%
Feb 29, 2020	179	@ Colorado St.	L	70-72	44%
Projected Record						14 - 15	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.1	0.4	0.0				4.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.6	2.6	1.2	0.3	0.0					5.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	2.6	3.3	1.4	0.2	0.0						8.1	4th
5th								0.1	0.8	3.3	4.4	2.0	0.2	0.0							10.7	5th
6th							0.1	0.9	4.2	5.1	2.1	0.3									12.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.5	4.8	5.9	2.3	0.2	0.0									14.9	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	2.3	5.7	5.8	2.0	0.2	0.0										16.3	8th
9th			0.1	0.8	3.3	5.2	3.6	1.1	0.1	0.0											14.2	9th
10th		0.1	0.9	2.5	2.9	1.6	0.4	0.0													8.4	10th
11th	0.1	0.7	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0														2.9	11th

Total	0.1	0.8	2.0	3.9	6.8	9.5	11.3	12.7	13.1	11.5	9.5	7.3	5.1	3.2	1.8	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.8%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	59.7%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.0
14-4	27.1%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.6%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.9%	1.9		0.9	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%										0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0							0.0
17-1	0.1%		60.9%	38.4%	22.6%	8.0				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		36.6%
16-2	0.3%		35.6%	16.9%	18.7%	9.9						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.2		22.5%
15-3	1.0%		29.5%	17.7%	11.8%	11.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.7		14.3%
14-4	1.8%		16.9%	12.7%	4.2%	12.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.5		4.8%
13-5	3.2%		10.3%	9.4%	0.9%	12.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			2.8		1.0%
12-6	5.1%		8.8%	8.6%	0.2%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	4.6		0.2%
11-7	7.3%		4.4%	4.4%		13.2												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	7.0
10-8	9.5%		2.7%	2.7%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	9.3
9-9	11.5%		1.8%	1.8%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	11.3
8-10	13.1%		0.9%	0.9%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	12.9
7-11	12.7%		0.3%	0.3%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.7
6-12	11.3%		0.3%	0.3%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.2
5-13	9.5%		0.2%	0.2%		15.7																0.0	0.0	9.4
4-14	6.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
3-15	3.9%																							3.9
2-16	2.0%																							2.0
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.6%	2.2%	0.3%	12.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	97.4		0.3%